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FOOTBALL Middle Tennessee @ FAU (MyTV30), 6PM, Saturday, September 30, 2017

SpaceRaider

SpaceRaider

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game thread, links are a work in progress:

Florida Atlantic University
Location: 777 Glades Road, Boca Raton, Florida
Founded: 1961 Enrollment: 30,808 Undergrad 24,687 Postgrad 5,460
Acceptance rate:
Colors: FAU Blue & FAU Red Nickname: Owls Mascot: Owlsley the Owl
Fight song: Fight song
Series: MT leads 11-3
Stadium: FAU Stadium (capacity 29,419), 777 Glades Road Boca Raton, Florida
Head Coach: Lane Kiffin (Fresno State, 1996) Record at FAU: 0-0 (1st) Overall: 35-21 (6th)
2016 Record: 3-9 (2-6) 2016 Bowl: None
Starters Ret./Lost: 21/5 Lettermen R/L: 32/20

Weather Forecast: Isolated Thunderstorms with a temperature of 81 F. The chance of rain is 30%. Winds are expected to be out of the Southeast at 4 miles per hour.

Where: FAU Stadium (capacity 29,419), 777 Glades Road Boca Raton, Florida

Stadium Policies: FAU Bag Policy, Parking Lots

Television: Stadium, MyTV30

Radio: PxP: Chip Walters, Analyst: Wes Counts, WMOT FM 89.5 (Murfreesboro), WGNS AM 1450 (Murfreesboro), WGNS FM 100.5 (Murfreesboro), WGNS FM 101.9 (Murfreesboro), WPRT FM 102.5 (Nashville), (TuneIn app)

Streaming: Audio, Video (twitter.com/WatchStadium & http://WatchStadium.com)

Live Stats: FAU Gametracker

Newspapers: Sun Sentinel, , , ,

Message Boards: FAU Owls Nest,

Blogs: SaintPetersBlog,

Athletic site: FAUsports.com, goblueraiders.com,

Media Guides: FAU, Middle Tennessee

Preseason Previews: FAU 2016 SBNation Preview, 2016 CUSA Football Preview: FAU Owls, UTSA 2016 Sports Chat Place College Football Preview, Owls (Orlando Sentinel #87), Middle Tennessee 2017 SBNation Preview, Middle Tennessee (Orlando Sentinel #73),

Game Notes: FAU game notes, Conference USA Notes, MT game notes

Game Previews: Preview: Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic, 7, ,

Roster: Owls, Blue Raiders

Twitter: @FAUOwlAthletics, @FAU_Football, @FloridaAtlantic, @TheOwlsNest_ITB, , ,,,,,,

Hashtags: #FAU, #WinToday, #Owlin, ,,,, #BlueRaiders, #MTvsFAU, ,, #TrueBlue,

Facebook: Florida Atlantic University, FAU Football,,,,

Youtube: FAUOwlAccess,

Instagram: fau_football,
 
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Looking forward to the game, I think its a good match up for us even tho we are missing several key guys. FAU strength is running the ball while stopping the run is our strength. Their QB is going to have to have a hell of a game to beat us.

This past week, we over came -3 in the TO margin and still won.

For the season we are -7 in TO margin - this is the biggest thing to turn around moving forward. I bet there are few teams at 2-2 with -7 in turnovers.

OLine is playing better, QB is playing a bit better, I think we can win in the CUSA play with Bruce and Anderson at RB. Our D is solid, I am hoping that they can begin to create more turnovers moving forward.

Here is to a great week in practice!
 
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There is no line yet for this game. That's how close Vegas thinks it will be. If we don't turn it over, we win by 20. If we cough it up 4 times (3 on O and one on the PR fumble) like the BG game, I don't know.
 
blueraiderJT said:
There is no line yet for this game. That's how close Vegas thinks it will be. If we don't turn it over, we win by 20. If we cough it up 4 times (3 on O and one on the PR fumble) like the BG game, I don't know.
Click to expand...


I imagine it would be more due to all our freaking injuries. Saw James standing on the sidelines next to Brent at the BGSU game and he was still in a boot.
 
Yup, that is playing a part in this for sure. Brady might be out due to a concussion as well. I've kinda written off Brent and Richie for the season already. Tuck is a big question mark right now too.

Anderson and Bruce are setting up to be clutch players for us and will take a lot of pressure off of Urzua. The line is gelling. FAU will be looking to seal off that middle pass play we have been using like 100 times. However, that could create some great outside man to man matchups. We might want to mix in some option style too since FAU cannot stop it whatsoever. Bruce was a pleasant surprise and has a good run style. He's hard nosed and keeps churning his legs. He might have just insured his spot on this offense now.

Upton and Marshall contributed more so I hope the offense involves them more this week. Marshall should be getting the ball thrown to him at least 10 times a game.

I watched the FAU vs Buffalo game this morning and yeah, FAU's run D might be worse than BG. Look for 11 and 5 to get lots of snaps. FAU will run better than BG but that's their main strength and we are better on D than Buffalo was. So, right now, the matchup favors us.
 
FAU is favored by 2.5

We won't win this game without Brent and Richie
 
sWiley said:
FAU is favored by 2.5

We won't win this game without Brent and Richie
Click to expand...

Buffalo didn't have Brent or Richie and they beat them. FAU as a team is just a little better than BG but not much. Buffalo just ran on them and FAU just ran on Buffalo. Neither team had that much D. In fact, FAU got beat by a backup QB in the 4th.

Our run D will make them 1 dimensional and we will force turnovers. FAU's run D is 121st in the country. BG is actually 118th and they gave up 243 yards to us. Before that game, we couldn't run 5 feet. Buffalo is 115th. We are 24th. I'm not that worried about what they can do. If we can limit turnovers and continue to block, we will be just fine.

Another reason we win. Time of possession. FAU only held the ball for 20 minutes vs. Buffalo. They are 127th in TOP. We kept the ball for 35 minutes last week. I think we will hold the ball for 37 minutes this weekend. If we do, they won't be able to do all that much.
 
sWiley said:
FAU is favored by 2.5

We won't win this game without Brent and Richie
Click to expand...

I disagree with you... we will not win if we lose the TO margin by -3, but straight up we have enough to win. FAU doesn't have any more than they did last year...they have no QB play, they are running the ball.

I think it will be a close game, but we are the better team, even without Brent and Richie.
 
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excerpt:

...The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will travel to FAU Football Stadium to take on the FAU Owls this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders improved to 2-2 on the season after defeating the Bowling Green Falcons 24-13, this past Saturday. Middle Tennessee jumped out to a 21-10 halftime lead and used a strong defensive effort in the 2nd half to hold on for the victory. The Blue Raiders outgained the Falcons by a 533-284 margin and won the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin. Leading the way for Middle Tennessee was QB John Urzua who started in place of injured starter Brent Stockstill and completed 24-32 passes for 290 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT. On the season, the Blue Raiders are averaging 15.8 ppg on 335.3 total yards per game (227.3 passing yds/g; 108.0 rushing yds/g). Offensviely, Middle Tennessee is led by QB Brent Stockstill who had completed 59.7% of his passes for 4 TD and 2 INT while averaging 145.0 passing yds/g. Stockstill has missed his last two games, however, backup QB John Urzua has filled in well and has completed 65.2% of his passes for 2 TD and 3 INT while averaging passing 212.5 yds/g. The Blue Raiders have talented WR’s in both Richie James (6.3 rec/g, 68.7 yds/g, 2 TD) and Ty Lee (5.0 rec/g, 47.8 yds/g, 2 TD), however, James missed last game due to ankle sprain is questionable this week. The backfield is led by Brad Anderson (7.33 att/g, 43.33 yds/g) and Maurice Gordon (7 att/g, 26 yds/g). Defensively, Middle Tennessee is holding their opponents to an average of 24.5 ppg on 325.5 total yards per game (220.8 passing yds/g; 104.8 rushing yds/g). The Blue Raiders have forced 2 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of –7.

The Florida Atlantic Owls dropped to 1-3 on the season after losing to the University of Buffalo Bulls 34-31, this past Saturday. In a tight back and forth game, FAU couldn’t fight back after Buffalo took a 34-24 lead with just 2:37 left in the 4th quarter. The Owls were outgained by the Bulls by a 458-412 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for Florida Atlantic was Devin Singletary who carried the ball 22 times for 156 yards and 3 TD. On the season, the Owls are averaging 15.8 ppg on 335.3 total yards per game (227.3 passing yds/g; 108.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Florida Atlantic is led by RB Devin Singletary who had 5 TD’s on the season while averaging 89.8 rushing yds/g on 14.0 att/g. QB Daniel Parr has completed 57.3% of his passes on the season with 4 TD and 2 INT while averaging 196.0 passing yds/g. The Owls WR's are led by DeAndre McNeal (4.5 rec/g, 74.5 yds/g, 2 TD) and Willie Wright (2.3 rec/g, 45.0 yds/g, TD). Defensively, Florida Atlantic is holding their opponents to an average of 26.8 ppg on 416.3 total yards per game (156.8 passing yds/g; 259.5 rushing yds/g). The Owls have forced 6 turnovers so far in the season and have an overall turnover margin of +1.

The Blue Raiders are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games on the road however are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. FAU. The Owls are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home.

Middle Tennessee is dealing with a bunch of injuries at the moment and we currently don’t know the status of QB Brent Stockstill, WR Richie James, and RB Shane Tucker. It was interesting watching the Blue Raiders recent victory over Bowling Green as their offense looked like a completely different team then what we’ve come to expect from Middle Tennessee. FAU has had a slow start under Lane Kiffin however, the Owls did play Wisconsin tougher than expected on the road earlier this season and was a play or two away from taking a home a victory against Buffalo.....
 
Stats are so misleading...with all our TO we are scoring way below our average, do to the TO, the points per game allowed are also skewed. FAU is +1 in TO margin yet, 1-3, we are -7 yet 2-2. Ultimately the only stat that matters is your record but finding it interesting to go deeper in the numbers. FAU has face one really good D, we have faced 3 good D's. I think we will have a solid game on Saturday.
 
Before the season I picked both FAU and FIU to beat us. I think we have a great chance to win and we are the better team. It will be close. We have to stop these turnovers.
 
FAU now favored by 3.

I repeat, we will not win this game without Stock & James.
 
FAU as a 3 point favorite. LOL. Vegas is trying to spark up the betting. I'm taking that bet all day. I think our run game will come on and our D will lockjaw em. If we don't turn it over, it won't be close. Bruce is clicking at the right time. He's going to have a very good game.

Stats are misleading but FAU is holding the ball for only 19-22 minutes a game. We are slowing down our game a bit and are controlling things with the D. If we hold the ball for 35 minutes like we did last week, we are winning and it won't be close. Watch that Buffalo game. It was a sad game and FAU ain't that good. Their D can't stop the run at all. IF we don't cough it up, we will own them. Also, we seem to play there types of games better on the road.
 
If you listen to the press conference and this interview, it's clear to see that Stock doesn't care for Lane Kiffin all that much. He basically called him an attention seeker in the press conference and stopped himself.
 
Definitely but I never heard Stock be negative about any coach before so it says a lot to hear him be that way about him.
 
98% of the money on MT thus far, yet line is moving the other way.

Vegas likes FAU
 
Just read a article in the DNJ where MTSU players would kneel if they were out on the field during the anthem.
 
common sense is not very common as the u of missouri administration has found out.
 
sWiley said:
98% of the money on MT thus far, yet line is moving the other way.

Vegas likes FAU
Click to expand...

Line is still at -3 FAU on Vegasinsider. I think Vegas sees this as a dead even game with FAU getting the home field advantage like that matters at Last Chance F?U. I also think Vegas is trying to motivate betting on this one as well.

FAU is 121st at stopping the run, lost to a bad Buffalo team and we just ran 243 yards on a team that is actually ranked 118th in stopping the run who also faced better competition. I would take MT all day in this one. We held the ball for 35 minutes last week and Stock even mentioned that on Greg and Joe's show. I think they now want to increase T.O.P. which would automatically give them a huge advantage over FAU who is about last in time of possession. Our D being ranked 24th vs. the run also gives us an advantage over FAU who is now primarily a run team.
 
blueraiderJT said:
Line is still at -3 FAU on Vegasinsider. I think Vegas sees this as a dead even game with FAU getting the home field advantage like that matters at Last Chance F?U. I also think Vegas is trying to motivate betting on this one as well.
Click to expand...

If you have ever been to Vegas, they aren't struggling to get people motivated to bet. Those buildings are nice for a reason. The Aria and Bellagio sportsbooks weren't built on winning tickets. A game between Middle Tennessee State and Florida Atlantic isn't going to generate enough volume to cause drastic line movements. Our games don't exactly move the needle on the Strip.
 
SigmaNuBlue said:
If you have ever been to Vegas, they aren't struggling to get people motivated to bet. Those buildings are nice for a reason. The Aria and Bellagio sportsbooks weren't built on winning tickets. A game between Middle Tennessee State and Florida Atlantic isn't going to generate enough volume to cause drastic line movements. Our games don't exactly move the needle on the Strip.
Click to expand...

You kinda made my point. I've seen lines swing a certain way to entice betting if the money isn't coming in for a particular game. Look, who's betting more cash on what games? Ohio state in a Big10 matchup or MT vs. FAU? I think this particular line isn't on solid ground.

Also, MT is 8-1 ATS on the road in the last nine road games where we weren't favored. This bet is in our favor. These are the kinds of games we win. Vegas might have nice buildings but I would argue that they aren't completely spot on when it comes to G5 games. They've been wrong plenty this year.

So far, for the year in CUSA games I'm actually 40-7 in predicting wins and losses along with the spreads.

I think we'll beat FAU solidly. I don't even gamble at all and I'm about to drop some cash on it. Then again, I could be totally wrong. I just think the matchup is in our favor.
 
blueraiderJT said:
You kinda made my point. I've seen lines swing a certain way to entice betting if the money isn't coming in for a particular game. Look, who's betting more cash on what games? Ohio state in a Big10 matchup or MT vs. FAU? I think this particular line isn't on solid ground.

Also, MT is 8-1 ATS on the road in the last nine road games where we weren't favored. This bet is in our favor. These are the kinds of games we win. Vegas might have nice buildings but I would argue that they aren't completely spot on when it comes to G5 games. They've been wrong plenty this year.
Click to expand...

I absolutely agree with you that G5 lines can definitely offer more value than the big money games, especially for those of us that follow a G5 conference closely.
 
Let's do it cuz that's what I got so far. A lot of these OOC games for CUSA were super predictable and easy picks. The only ones I tanked on hard were LT at SC last week, Us vs. Vandy, LT vs. WKU and UK vs. USM. I've been on the money with us vs. Cuse, Minny and I changed my "bet" to MT + the points the night before the BG game. Not all of my picks are ATS. I've bet many of those to cover.

Of course, I'm only betting monopoly money but I'm getting tempted to let some real cash fly. We should do a virtual bet game and whoever ends up with the most virtual cash, wins a cash prize or something. I started with a $1000.00 and I'm up to $8750.00 at this point. I keep my investments reasonably conservative.

I haven't made this public before cuz I figured most wouldn't care but for fun, I'll post my picks this week. It's getting tougher now that we are entering conference play.

Murphy's law suggest that I might get my rear handed to me this week.

Rice (1-3)
Pittsburgh (1-3) - W, cover (20.5)
$150

UTEP (0-4)
Army (2-2) - W, not cover (24.5 pts)
$50

Charlotte(0-4, 0-0 C-USA)
Florida Intl (2-1, 1-0 C-USA) W, Cover (12.5 pts)
$100

Middle Tennessee (2-2, 0-0 C-USA) - W (+3)
Florida Atlantic (1-3)
$550

South Alabama (1-3)
Louisiana Tech (2-2) - W, cover - (- 13.5 pts)
$100

Marshall (2-1) - W
Cincinnati (2-2)
$150

North Texas (2-2, 1-0 C-USA)
Southern Mississippi (2-1, 0-0 C-USA) - W, Cover - (9 pts)
$250

POT INVESTED - $1250.00
 
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