Marshall seems as good as gone. I feel like the Florida schools will get a look as well. It's a shame FIU doesn't have better athletics because they have the university/numbers to be a major athletics powerhouse. They are one of the largest universities in the country with major professional programs located in Miami freakin' Florida. They made a major mistake firing Cristobal.
I don't know a lot about UTSA in terms of their facilities, enrollment, etc. They seem more like a johnny come lately school to me with a few good years in football and that's about it.
If I were the American I would be considering Marshall, FIU, Appy St, Coastal, Liberty, and maybe ULL.
I feel like Marshall is a given, so that leaves two more spots. UAB doesn't intrigue me at all if I'm the American, they are mediocre in all sports but football which they just had to bring back from the dead after killing the program. I don't like that.
I really would go FIU. They also bring the AAC that Florida market back that they lost with UCF leaving.
You then need one more team. Coastal, Liberty, ULL, or Appy St. ? They're all about the same I feel. Liberty probably has the biggest budget and potential following/media.
Marshall, Liberty, FIU.