I think our final regulation possession was handled poorly. The staff was absolutely correct to be concerned about potentially having to punt back to Marshall, given that Marshall still had 2 timeouts remaining at the beginning of our possession and our punting game is not consistently reliable. We chose to run on first down and got nothing, and then proceeded to try to straddle the line between running some clock and still playing fast enough to keep alive the opportunity for us to move the ball and win in regulation. On that last series, I think we would have been better off to go with this approach:
1st down: This is the play where you take a calculated shot with a high percentage passing play that you are confident you can complete. If you get a pass completion for more than 5 yards, then you go all in to try to move the ball and play fast. If you throw an incompletion, then you move on to ...
2nd down: After the incompletion stops the clock and you are looking at 2nd-and-10 with 1 minute remaining, you go with a running play on 2nd down. If you break it open and get a first down, then you are back into aggressive mode. If the running play goes nowhere, you run the clock down and dare Marshall to call its timeout. That puts the pressure on the Marshall staff, knowing that if they call a timeout they may inadvertently help the Raiders if they were able to convert a 3rd down play. I bet a majority of head coaches would not call a timeout in that defensive situation.
3rd down: You run the ball again with probably less than 20 seconds on the clock. Marshall would use a timeout and you punt it with roughly 15 seconds remaining. Marshall would then have enough time for just one play most likely.
If Marshall rolled the dice and called a timeout after the 2nd down play, then I think you go with a run-pass option play on third down, with instructions to the QB that he does not throw a pass unless he is supremely confident in a completion.
It was a tough situation and there are arguments that can be made for multiple play-calling approaches in the scenario that we were in, but I did not like the 1st down run call. I think you go with calculated aggression on first down there, and then dial it back on the following downs if unsuccessful on first down.
The trick play at the end of the first half was also ill-timed in my opinion. We were out of timeouts with less than 20 seconds on the clock. There is no way we would go with a running play there and the defense knows it, but the trick play starts with a handoff going toward Grammer's side. It was obvious what call was on and that's why the Marshall secondary didn't take the bait. I have no problem with that play in and of itself, but that was not the time for it IMO.
Even with saying all of this, I am very happy we got the win and I concede that all members of the MT staff have forgotten more football than I will ever know.