A 10 seed feels pretty low
Forgot 1 other upcoming opponent team.
Kansas St: #4 seed.
I don't believe Charlie was thinking we would get a victory over any of the above listed opponents outside of GCU. If we could pull off a road upset or 2, ie: Tennessee or Princeton I could see us climbing a couple of spots. Possibly an 8 or 9 seed. Which is unfortunately worse than a 10 seed, IMO.
To get a coveted 6 seed or better I think we would also need a victory over Iowa St or K State. Despite the fact I think we could be better than last year, either of those would be very hard victories to come by.
Normally we're given an 11 or 12 seed ranking as a quality G5. We have to remember prior to the Louisville tournament victory we had lost 10 or 11 consecutive tournament games. Some very badly. My thoughts were the Louisville victory gave us a spot or 2 bump from our typical 11 or 12 seed.