If NT wins out until the finals- it would give them wins at UAB and vs La Tech and they’d be 24-5 vs D1s.. I think it would hinge on who they were to lose to in the finals and how Miami, Buffalo & Wichita State close out the year.. a close loss to UAB, LaTech, or MT would likely draw serious consideration..
Strengths
1. 9-1 in their last 10 games, 18-2 in their last 20 games if they win out until final game
2. OOC strength of schedule is Top 25
3. NET of 51 currently and would improve at least to Top 35-40 with 8 more wins..
Cons
1. CUSA conference NET of 13 doesn’t help
2. Buffalo loss at home- 2nd game of the year and will be fine if Buffalo finishes strong- if Buffalo were to win their tourney I think NT is a no brainer in this scenario- of course it always depends on the number of surprises in other autobid conference tourneys.. they’d be in consideration no doubt