You and I don’t agree much but I don’t disagree with much here. I will say, I don’t think realignment is even close to being done though. I’ve said for a long time Bama and Michigan are going to get tired of getting the same money Vandy and Northwestern get. They will eventually blow everything up. Hopefully we have things ironed out by then but who knows if we do or do not.
Glen, one thing you probably haven't learned about me the rest of the board may have figured out is I see the painting on the wall differently. While most everyone else sees oh well x happened, so y must happen next I don't always restrict my thinking to that.
To me the issue is not what's the Pac going to do or ooh Air Force might be going to the AAC or whatever combination someone wants to come up with. What I see is this. 1) No one really knows if there's going to be a split, but I lean toward it not happening especially if the House settlement goes through. Primarily because its the hardest path to take and look how long it took us just to get a playoff. That took decades. 2) If the settlement falls through then all bets are off. Probably ends the NCAA and we some sort of major split.
So, this issue for me isn't about whether realignment is over or not. And as I have said for 20 years it's not really realignment or expansion it's contraction. So, where's the contraction going to happen? Well, it's been happening before our very eyes and the next moves are too difficult to predict, but let's say settlement is reached. That is the most likely as it is status quo. In that scenario, the first thing is schools like Vandy and NW won't be kicked out of their leagues. Not a viable option because the power schools in the power conferences are accepting the NCAA as the structure for the governing body. Second, schools will have to decide how much they want to pay players and conferences are probably going to have to agree to some degree of consistency. I mean you can't really have one school in a conference paying the full amount while another pays a fraction of that.
I'm not saying this is going to happen but its very easy for me to see something like four power leagues and four non-power leagues. In such a scenario C-USA and the MWC probably don't exist anymore. If you're stuck in this league at that moment in time - which is very plausible for us you're kicked out of FBS. And I can legitimately see western getting inside and us being left on the outside because of the awful mismanagement of this university. This is why I'm concerned. That or something like that happening. So, you can talk about more moves happening, but that's not really issue and the presumed opportunity may not develop, because of the prospect that contraction opens up better options just like the ACC adding western teams instead of Memphis or USF or AAC inviting Air Force instead of somone like us or from the SBC. Make no mistake this is a game of musical chairs and some schools aren't going to have one when the music stops. If that happens tomorrow there's a 99% chance MT is f'd. And there most certainly isn't a lot of time to course correct.
So, to your point no one has any confidence in this administration having things ironed out. They've had 20 years and even the move to C-USA was bothced.