The problem really is the schedule. It is deceptively difficult. James Madison and Colorado State are not world beaters, but playing them on the road in Weeks 1 and 2 with a new offensive coordinator and replacing many great players makes the games very difficult because even though they are just mediocre teams, winning on the road isn't easy and especially when replacing many key players. Then you get Miami on the road and come home to open with the top 4 teams in the conference (UAB, UTSA, WKU, UTEP) with two of those games on the road. We will be underdogs in every game we play weeks 1-9 except for Tennessee State @ home. That is brutal.
I think we will have a decent to good team but we could easily be 1-7 or 2-6 going into our 9th game because of the way the schedule sets up. Could make for a long, very frustrating season.
I really think the first two weeks are everything and will give us an idea of what this team can or can't do. Starting 0-2 tells me this team cannot win on the road against mediocre competition and isn't ready to play for anything meaningful this season. Starting 1-1 tells me we can at least play some meaningful football and compete with decent teams.